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A hot PPI and a soft CPI is a poor mix for China’s growth outlook. It points to margin compression for manufacturers and weak domestic demand, which weighs on sentiment toward Chinese equities and keeps expectations of policy support alive. For the yuan, softer underlying inflation argues for easier policy at the margin, a mild negative. For the Australian dollar and commodity currencies, the read is mixed: firm producer prices reflect cost pressure rather than a demand-led recovery in China’s appetite for raw materials. For oil, the PPI surge mainly shows the energy shock feeding through, not new demand strength. --- Earlier: China steps up market stabilisation push: three short-term priorities for equities --- China’s factories are facing their fastest price rises in years while consumer inflation slips further below 1%, a split that points to squeezed margins and fragile domestic demand rather than any healthy reflation. Summary: China’s October PPI rose 5.7% y/y, beating the 5.3% forecast and up from 5% in September. CPI rose 0.7% y/y, below the 0.8% expected and down from 0.9%. CPI was flat month-on-month, in line with forecasts, after a 0.2% rise in September. Core CPI eased to 0.8% from 1%, below the 0.9% forecast. The gap between producer and consumer inflation has widened to around five percentage points. Trade data is due Tuesday, with credit and money supply figures later in the week. China’s factory-gate inflation accelerated more sharply than expected in October, while consumer price growth slowed below forecasts. The result widens the gap between surging producer costs and weak household demand. The producer price index rose 5.7% from a year earlier, well above expectations of around 5.3% and up from 5% in September, when it had already reached a four-year high. Consumer prices increased 0.7% year-on-year, slightly below the 0.8% forecast and down from 0.9% in September. They were flat on the month, in line with expectations, after a 0.2% gain in…

3 days ago · investinglive.com · You are reading this one

investinglive.comFactualityFactuality is a Premium featureCenterCenterBased on the outlet's overall lean; article framing check pending

A PPI print above 5% alongside sub-1% CPI would reinforce the market’s read that China is importing cost pressure without the demand to pass it on. That is a negative mix for industrial profits and for confidence in the domestic recovery. A soft CPI reading would keep expectations alive for further policy support from Beijing, which would weigh modestly on the yuan. For commodity-linked currencies such as the Australian dollar, the key signal is demand: weak consumer prices argue against a strong pickup in China’s appetite for raw materials. For oil, firm PPI mainly reflects the energy shock already under way rather than new demand strength. --- China’s October inflation data is expected to show factory-gate prices racing ahead while consumer prices barely move, a split that points to squeezed margins and fragile domestic demand rather than a healthy reflation. Summary: China’s October CPI and PPI are due at 01:30 GMT, 8:30pm US Eastern on Sunday. CPI is forecast at around 0.8% y/y, down from 0.9%, with estimates clustered between 0.7% and 0.9%. Core CPI is expected to hold near 1%. PPI is forecast to rise to around 5.2% to 5.3% from 5%, extending a four-year high. Monthly PPI gains are seen slowing sharply, but not enough to stop the annual rate climbing. Trade data follows on 10 November, with credit and money supply figures on 13 November. China releases October consumer and producer price data at 01:30 GMT on Monday, 8:30pm US Eastern time on Sunday. Forecasts point to a further widening of the gap between subdued consumer inflation and rapidly rising factory-gate prices. Consumer prices are expected to rise around 0.8% from a year earlier, edging down from 0.9% in September. Forecasts are tightly clustered, with most estimates sitting between 0.7% and 0.9%. Some forecasters see prices unchanged on the month, after a 0.2% rise in September that undershot expectations. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, is projected to hold near 1%. Consumer…

3 days ago · investinglive.com